The 29th Day

Project:Explaining exponential growth
Component:Source material
Category:feature request
Priority:normal
Assigned:Unassigned
Status:active
Project wiki:Explaining exponential growth
Description

In the video "Are Humans Smarter than Yeast", an example is given of some lilly pads doubling every day and covering a lake on the 30th day. The 29th day, the lake is only half covered and most people wouldn't notice a problem.

I just notice that Lester Brown wrote a book called The Twenty-Ninth Day (1978)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lester_Brown
It seems that the title refers to the same problem (exponential growth and carrying capacity).

I wonder: who invented this allegory first?
Where else did you see this allegory (in one form or another) ?

Comments

#1

I'm not sure where the lily pad metaphor emerged. On page 29, "Limits to Growth" (1972), Donella Meadows uses the metaphor, calling it "A French riddle for children...." She also uses exponential growth of a colony of yeast cells in a different example. -- Dan Chay

#2

Project:Overshoot TV (General issues)» Explaining exponential growth
Component:Documentation» Source material

moving to proper queue.

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